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Southfield, Michigan 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Southfield MI
National Weather Service Forecast for: Southfield MI
Issued by: National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Updated: 2:49 am EDT Apr 25, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: A slight chance of showers before 4am, then a slight chance of rain between 4am and 5am, then a slight chance of rain and thunderstorms after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Northeast wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms
Friday

Friday: A chance of rain before 2pm, then rain and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then rain after 5pm.  High near 76. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Chance Rain
then Rain
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Rain, mainly before 11pm.  Low around 48. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northwest in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Rain then
Chance Rain
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. North northwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. North wind 6 to 10 mph.
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Mostly Clear
Monday

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Mostly Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Mostly Cloudy
Lo 54 °F Hi 76 °F Lo 48 °F Hi 54 °F Lo 41 °F Hi 67 °F Lo 46 °F Hi 73 °F Lo 62 °F

 

Overnight
 
A slight chance of showers before 4am, then a slight chance of rain between 4am and 5am, then a slight chance of rain and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
 
A chance of rain before 2pm, then rain and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then rain after 5pm. High near 76. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Friday Night
 
Rain, mainly before 11pm. Low around 48. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northwest in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday
 
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. North northwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 41. North wind 6 to 10 mph.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 67.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Monday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Monday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Tuesday
 
Rain likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84.
Tuesday Night
 
Rain and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Wednesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Thursday
 
A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 66.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Southfield MI.

Weather Forecast Discussion
401
FXUS63 KDTX 250344
AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1144 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and scattered thunderstorms developing tomorrow. Isolated
thunderstorms may be marginally severe in the afternoon.

- High pressure this weekend brings dry conditions. Cool Saturday
before returning to near normal Sunday.

- Temperatures back into the 70s on Monday before another cold front
arrives on Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions are anticipated tonight with wind directions easterly
behind a backdoor cold front. VFR conditions throughout much of
Friday. Absolute vorticity advection and height falls ahead of
amplifying northern stream trough will bring the potential for
thunderstorms Friday afternoon. Did include a prevailing group for
-TSRA between 21-00Z.

For DTW...Most likely timeframe for -TSRA between 21-00Z Friday.

.DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* Low for ceiling at or below 5000 ft Friday.

* Moderate for thunder late Friday afternoon/evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 258 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

DISCUSSION...

Another warm day today with an expanded coverage of high
temperatures reaching 80+ degrees (most locations along/south of I-
69). With weak flow in place and differential heating, marine
influences will be a significant cooling influence, with lake
breezes pushing farther inland through early evening.

Positive tilted progressive upper level trough approaching southern
Manitoba border this afternoon, swinging through the Central Great
Lakes on Saturday morning. Out ahead of this trough, some upper
level energy/weak height falls ejects out of the Midwest on Friday,
supporting cyclogensis over southeast Michigan tomorrow. Increasing
large scale ascent and destabilization will support blossoming
coverage of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. ML/1000-850
MB capes increasing aoa 1000 J/kg draws some concern for severe
storms. There are some lower 60 dew pts noted over southern Indiana
this afternoon which will make a run at or just north of the southern
Michigan border tomorrow. However, the surface low pressure is broad
and the low level winds are weak, coupled with modest mid level
lapse rates (~6 C/KM from 700-500 MB). 0-6 KM bulk shear also
borderline south of the surface low, running around 30 knots. On the
flip side, the system is ramping up as it tracks through, with
phasing occuring as the low pressure system tracks into the Eastern
Great Lakes Friday night. With downdraft capes around 1000 J/kg
Friday afternoon, a marginal/isolated severe threat seems valid with
precip loaded downdraft. Marginal hail not out of the question as
well if any cell rotates and sustains the updraft, as machine
learning outlook indicating a 5% probability for both wind and hail.

Good shot of cold advection to follow for Friday night, as 850 MB
temps progged to reach around zero Saturday morning. With rather
tight pressure gradient, local probabilistic guidance suggests
northwest winds gusting around 30 mph, supported by Euro ensembles.
Sprawling high pressure builds into the Central Great Lakes through
Sunday and then slides east, with an active warm front developing
over the Western Great Lakes to close out the weekend. All/bulk of
elevated showers expected to stay west of the CWA through Sunday
night, as the 700 MB jet core is back across Iowa, per 12z Euro.
Pronounced upper level ridge axis building over southeast on Monday
with 850 MB temps reaching 13 C, supportive of highs well into the
70s to near 80 degrees once again with southwest flow ramping up,
ahead of a cold front on track to move through on Tuesday. Strong
wind fields with the amplified northern stream upper level trough
could present a severe threat, but timing is uncertain. Morning
timing would mitigate any severe threat.

MARINE...

A weak cold front stalls over the region today into tonight with
wind 15 kt or below for most of the area. The exception will be
Saginaw Bay where northeast flow will quickly ramp up to 20 to 25 kt
this afternoon and a Small Craft Advisory has been issued. Low
pressure lifts into the region on Friday, bringing scattered to
numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms across the central Great
Lakes. Moderate easterly flow across northern Lake Huron backs to
northerly and spreads southward across the lake as the low departs
late Friday. N to NNE wind then peaks late Friday night into midday
Saturday with gusts to around 30 knots over central Lake Huron.
Small Craft Advisories will likely be needed as waves build along
the nearshore areas in the southern basin. North flow persists
through Saturday but gradually weakens as strong high pressure
builds in from the west. This high promotes lighter winds and waves
through Sunday.

HYDROLOGY...

Increasing daytime instability and surface low pressure arriving
tomorrow will support showers and scattered thunderstorms developing
during the afternoon, as PW values rise aoa 1.25 inches. Although
basin average rainfall is generally expected to be a half an inch or
less, any strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will produce
localized rainfall of 1.0-1.25 inches in a short period which could
cause minor urban and small stream flooding.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
Lake Huron...Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for LHZ421-422.

Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION.....CB
DISCUSSION...SF
MARINE.......TF
HYDROLOGY....SF


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